The Current Trend Growth Scenario

  • 11/15/2013

If we continue to develop according to current growth trends:

  • 95% of the people in our region will continue to make trips alone in their car.

  • Open spaces will continue to be lost at a rate of 1% per year, directly impacting nearly $900 million in annual gross income from our region’s agriculture and forestry industries and over $50 million annually from outdoor recreational activities.

  • Connecting 400 miles of existing public trails and 2,000 miles of proposed trails will remain challenging.

  • Growth and diversification of our region’s local economy and job market will continue to be a key challenge, especially in rural communities.

  • Our region’s home ownership rate may fall from 67% in 2010 to 61% by 2040, reflecting wider market and demographic trends.

  • <10% of residents will live in communities where they can walk, though >50% currently indicate they want to able to walk to places.

  • 30% of the people in our region will continue driving to another county for their jobs.

  • Our region’s 600 miles of polluted streams, 33,000 acres of polluted lakes and other valuable endangered plant and animal habitats will be further stressed or lost.

  • Our region’s prevalent pattern of dispersed, low-density, single-use development will continue around communities, impacting farms, forests, water quality, and natural habitats.

  • Hard-hit by the recent economic downturn, the Piedmont Triad lost >84,000 jobs from 2000 to 2010 (NC Department of Commerce, 2010) primarily in the Manufacturing, Trade, Transportation & Utility sectors. The Education & Health Services sector showed steady growth, while other regionally significant employment sectors remained relatively stable.

  • Combined housing and transportation costs will continue to be >50% of an average family’s income in our region.

  • The number of households living in food deserts or limited supermarket access areas in our region – over 125,000 or 17% - will continue to increase.

  • Commercial development will continue to occur along major transportation corridors –increasing traffic congestion, requiring costly service extensions and decreasing air quality.

  • Families will continue to be burdened by high rents with few affordable housing choices, especially for apartments and small homes.

  • Neighborhoods with concentrations of families living in poverty conditions and older unsafe housing will continue to deteriorate.